据World Oil网奥斯陆1月7日消息 挪威石油游说公司提高了对该国石油行业投资的预测，因为在长达三年的经济低迷期间，削减成本使得项目更加有利可图，甚至能够抵御最近原油价格的暴跌。

挪威油气协会（Norwegian Oil and gas Association）周一在年度预测中表示，在挪威运营的油气公司将在2019年投资1845亿克朗(合215亿美元)。这比2018年增长了16%，而2017年12月的预测是1530亿克朗。

该集团提高了2022年之前每年的支出预测。公司预计投资将在今年达到峰值，2020年保持不变，然后在2023年降至1415亿克朗。该游说公司称，在围绕石油税等问题展开公开辩论后，这些预测取决于石油行业保持稳定的框架条件。2018年，由于大宗商品价格上涨和成本大幅下降，四年来挪威油气行业的投资首次出现增长。

尽管基准布伦特原油价格在过去3个月从85美元/桶降至58美元/桶左右，但仍高于2016年不到30美元/桶的低点。至关重要的是，它们的价格也超过了近期挪威近海项目盈亏平衡所需的价格。

吴慧丹 摘译自 World Oil

原文如下：

Norway oil lobby hikes spending forecasts, sees 16% jump in 2019

Norway’s oil lobby raised its forecast for investments in the country’s petroleum industry as cost cuts during a three-year downturn made projects more profitable and able to withstand even the recent slump in crude prices.

Oil and gas companies operating in Norway will invest 184.5 billion kroner ($21.5 billion) in 2019, the Norwegian Oil and Gas Association said in annual forecasts on Monday. That’s a 16% jump from 2018 and compares to a prediction of 153 billion kroner made in December 2017.

The group raised spending forecasts for each year through 2022. It expects investments to peak this year, remain little changed in 2020, and then drop to 141.5 billion kroner in 2023. The lobby warned that these forecasts depend on framework conditions remaining stable for the industry, following public debate surrounding issues like petroleum taxes. Investments in Norway’s oil and gas industry rose for the first time in four years in 2018, thanks to higher commodity prices and drastic cost reductions.

Despite benchmark Brent crude dipping from $85/bbl to about $58/bbl in the past three months, prices remain above the lows of less than $30 in 2016. Crucially, they also exceed the price needed by recent projects offshore Norway to break even.