据天然气工业5月28日消息称，国际能源机构（IEA）对清洁能源转型的最新评估发现，绝大多数技术和行业未能跟上长期目标的步伐。

在国际能源署最新发布的《清洁能源进展追踪报告》(TCEP)中， 对45项能源技术和行业进行了评估，其中只有7项符合国际能源署的《可持续发展设想》（SDS）。SDS是实现《巴黎气候变化协定》目标、实现普遍能源利用和显著减少空气污染的途径。

国际能源署3月份发布的一份评估报告显示，2018年全球与能源相关的二氧化碳排放量上升1.7%，达到330亿吨的历史新高。

根据新的TCEP分析，一些清洁能源技术在去年取得了重大进展。在韩国、中国、美国和德国的带动下，随着新装置容量翻了一番，能源存储现在“步入正轨”。电动汽车销量再创新高，2018年全球销量达到200万辆。中国占总销量的一半以上。

太阳能光伏发电仍将保持31%的增长势头，这在可再生能源发电中是绝对增长最快的。但是，太阳能光伏发电和可再生能源发电的年产能在2018年整体趋于平稳，这引发了人们对实现长期气候目标的担忧。

今年的分析扩大了涵盖范围，将石油和天然气行业的燃除和甲烷排放包括在内。全球能源行业的温室气体排放约有7%来自石油和天然气行业。尽管过去一年取得了一些积极进展，但目前的技术部署速度、政策抱负和行业努力仍远远达不到目标。

建筑行业也依然偏离轨道，2018年排放量再次上升，达到历史最高水平。这是多种因素共同作用的结果，包括极端天气增加了取暖和制冷的能源需求。另一个令人担忧的发展是，随着购车者继续购买更大的汽车，全球燃油经济性改善放缓。

鉴于全球清洁能源转型所需行动的紧迫性和规模，今年的TCEP更加强调为各国政府、行业和全球能源体系中的其他关键角色推荐的行动。分析还包括深入分析如何解决所有部门和技术的100多个关键创新缺口。

TCEP为一系列技术和部门的清洁能源转型提供全面、严格的和最新的专家分析。它借鉴国际能源署对市场、模型和能源统计的独特理解，跟踪和评估技术部署和性能、投资、政策和创新方面的进展。它还借鉴了国际能源署广泛的全球技术网络，在近40个技术合作项目中，共有6000名研究人员。

TCEP是国际能源署跟踪能源转型和关键指标的广泛努力的一部分，旨在帮助决策者了解应将创新、投资和政策重点放在何处，以实现气候和可持续发展目标。

曹海斌 摘译自 天然气工业

原文如下：

IEA: energy technology progress failing to keep pace

The International Energy Agency’s (IEA) latest assessment of clean energy transitions finds that the vast majority of technologies and sectors are failing to keep pace with long-term goals.

Of the 45 energy technologies and sectors assessed in the IEA’s latest ‘Tracking Clean Energy Progress (TCEP)’, only seven are on track with the IEA’s ‘Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS)’. The SDS represents a pathway to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement on climate change, deliver universal energy access and significantly reduce air pollution.

These latest findings follow an IEA assessment published in March showing that energy-related CO2 emissions worldwide rose by 1.7% in 2018 to a historic high of 33 billion t.

Some clean energy technologies showed major progress last year, according to the new TCEP analysis. Energy storage is now ‘on track’ as new installations doubled, led by South Korea, China, the US and Germany. Electric vehicles had another record year, with global sales hitting 2 million in 2018. China accounted for more than half of total sales.

Solar PV remains on track with a 31% increase in generation – representing the largest absolute growth in generation among renewable sources. But annual capacity additions of solar PV and renewable power as a whole levelled off in 2018, raising concerns about meeting long-term climate goals.

This year’s analysis expands coverage to include flaring and methane emissions from oil and gas operations, which are responsible for around 7% of the energy sector’s greenhouse gas emissions worldwide. Despite some positive developments over the past year, current technology deployment rates, policy ambition and industry efforts are still falling well short.

The buildings sector also remains off track, with emissions rising again in 2018 to an all-time high. This was the result of several factors, including extreme weather that raised energy demand for heating and cooling. Another concerning development was the slowdown in fuel economy improvements around the world as car buyers continued to purchase bigger vehicles.

Given the urgency and scale of actions needed for clean energy transitions around the world, this year’s TCEP features much greater emphasis on recommended actions for governments, industry and other key actors in the global energy system. The analysis also includes in-depth analysis on how to address more than 100 key innovation gaps across all sectors and technologies.

TCEP provides a comprehensive, rigorous and up-to-date expert analysis of clean energy transitions across a full range of technologies and sectors. It draws on the IEA’s unique understanding of markets, modelling and energy statistics to track and assess progress on technology deployment and performance, investment, policy, and innovation. It also draws on the IEA’s extensive global technology network, totalling 6000 researchers across nearly 40 Technology Collaboration Programmes.

TCEP is part of the IEA’s broader efforts on tracking energy transitions and key indicators to help inform decision makers on where to focus innovation, investment and policy attention to achieve climate and sustainable development goals.

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