据普氏能源资讯2019年7月1日悉尼报道，澳大利亚工业、创新和科学部周一在其《资源和能源季报》中表示，由于澳大利亚与卡塔尔争夺世界上最大的液化天然气（LNG）出口国地位，该部日前略微下调了其对澳大利亚未来两年LNG出口量的预测。

在2018-2019财年(7 - 6月)，澳大利亚工业、创新和科学部现在预计澳大利亚LNG出口量为7480万吨，比报告第三季度给出的7560万吨下降了1%。报告还预计，未来两个财年澳大利亚LNG出口量预计将分别下降1%和2%，分别从8200万吨降至8130万吨和从8260万吨降至8120万吨。

澳大利亚工业、创新和科学部表示，2018-2019财年的预测应该足以让澳大利亚超越卡塔尔，成为全球最大的LNG出口国，但这一差距将非常小。澳大利亚工业、创新和科学部补充称，这并不确定。

澳大利亚工业、创新和科学部表示：“由于卡塔尔LNG出口价格水平缺乏明朗化，全球最大LNG出口国之争变得更加复杂。”

报告称：“随着两国新项目的投产，预计在本世纪20年代中期，澳大利亚预计将被卡塔尔和美国超越成为全球最大LNG出口国。”

李峻 编译自 Platts

原文如下：

Australia trims LNG export volumes forecast as it jostles with Qatar for no. 1

Australia's Department of Industry, Innovation and Science has marginally lowered its forecast for the country's LNG export volumes for the next two years as the country jostles with Qatar to be the world's largest exporter of the fuel, it said Monday in its Resources and Energy Quarterly report.

For the 2018-2019 (July-June) fiscal year, it is now expecting exports of 74.8 million mt, down by 1% from the 75.6 million mt figure given in the March quarter edition of the report. The report also estimates LNG exports for the next two fiscal years to drop by 1% and 2% to 81.3 million mt from 82 million mt, and to 81.2 million mt from 82.6 million mt, respectively.

The fiscal 2018-2019 forecast should be enough to see Australia edge past Qatar on an annual basis to be the world's largest exporter, but the margin will be very narrow, it said, adding that it's not a certainty.

"The tussle for the title of world's largest LNG exporter is further complicated by a lack of clarity around the price level of Qatar's LNG exports," the Canberra-based unit said.

"During the mid-2020s, Australia is expected to be surpassed as the world's largest LNG exporter by both Qatar and the US, as new projects in both countries come online," it said.