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原油期货因美股上涨 但增长担忧使涨幅受限

阅读:1448次 日期:2019/07/26

据普氏能源资讯7月25日新加坡报道,亚洲原油期货周四早盘走高。上周,美国公布原油库存下降,但全球经济和增长前景的疲软,限制了涨幅。

新加坡时间上午10点10分(格林尼治时间02:10),洲际交易所布伦特原油期货9月合约较周三结算价63.30美元/桶,上涨了12美分(0.19%),纽约商交所9月轻质低硫原油期货合约上涨18美分(0.32%),至56.06美元/桶。

美国能源信息署(EIA)周三公布的数据显示,截至7月19日的一周,美国商业原油库存下降1090万桶。

标普全调查分析预计,原油供应量将减少约440万桶。

减产主要集中在美国墨西哥湾沿岸,那里的海上生产和港口运营在一周前受到飓风“巴里”(Barry)的破坏后正在逐渐恢复正常。

澳新银行(ANZ)分析师在一份报告中表示:“有人认为,飓风“巴里”的登录,暂时影响了产量和库存。”

飓风“巴里”在路易斯安那州西部登陆时为弱一级风暴,对该地区基础设施的影响微乎其微。上周早些时候,离开了该地区,石油运输得以迅速恢复。EIA数据显示,上周原油出口从10周低点反弹至每日330万桶。

与此同时,分析师表示,全球需求和增长前景的悲观,限制了价格的上行涨幅。

IHS Markit周三发布的美国制造业PMI(采购经理人指数) 从6月的50.6降至7月的50,为2009年9月以来的最低水平——指数降至50点,为中性点,表明制造业经营状况停滞不前。

在美国经济报告疲弱之前,国际货币基金组织(IMF)下调了增长预期,将2019年和2020年全球经济增长预期分别下调0.1个百分点,至3.2%和3.5%,原因是国际贸易紧张局势,以及英国可能无法达成脱欧协议。

华侨银行(OCBC)分析师在一份报告中表示:“目前,原油价格似乎处于限定区间波动之中,我们预计,我们预计价格将继续在一定区间内波动,直到更清晰的经济健康迹象出现。”

邹勤 摘译自 普氏能源资讯

原文如下:

Crude oil futures rise on US stockdraw, growth concerns limit gains

Crude oil futures were higher during mid-morning trade in Asia Thursday amid a draw reported in US crude inventories last week, but an upside was limited by weak global economic and growth outlook.

At 10:10 am Singapore time (0210 GMT), front-month ICE Brent September futures rose 12 cents/b (0.19%) from Wednesday's settle at $63.30/b, while the NYMEX September light sweet crude futures contract was 18 cents/b (0.32%) higher at $56.06/b.

US commercial crude inventories for the week ended July 19 fell 10.9 million barrels, according to data released by the US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.

Analysts surveyed Monday by S&P Global Platts were looking for a smaller draw of around 4.4 million barrels.

The drawdown was concentrated on the US Gulf Coast, where offshore production and port operations were normalizing after being disrupted by Hurricane Barry the week prior.

"The optimism was tempered by the view that production and inventories were temporarily impacted by Hurricane Barry's movement through the Gulf of Mexico," said ANZ analysts in a note.

Barry, which made landfall in western Louisiana as a weak Category 1 storm, had only minimal impact on regional infrastructure, allowing for a rapid resumption of oil shipments once the storm departed the area early last week. Crude exports rebounded off 10-week lows to 3.3 million b/d last week, EIA data showed.

Meanwhile, a bearish outlook on global demand and growth limited upside gains on prices, said analysts.

The IHS Markit US manufacturing PMI [Purchasing Managers' Indexes] released Wednesday dropped to 50 for July, down from 50.6 in June and the lowest since September 2009. The decline to 50, the neutral point of the index, indicates stagnant manufacturing business conditions.

The weak US economic report came on the heels of a downward revision in growth forecast by the International Monetary Fund. The IMF lowered its projection of global growth down 0.1 percentage point for 2019 and 2020 Tuesday to 3.2% and 3.5%, respectively, because of trade tensions between the US and China and the prospect of a no-deal Brexit.

"Prices appear rangebound at the moment and we expect it to continue drifting sideways until clearer signs of economic health emerges," said OCBC Bank analysts in a note.

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