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维多集团认为全球石油需求增长将进一步放缓

阅读:1554次 日期:2019/08/10

据美国彭博新闻社2019年8月7日报道,维多集团(Vitol Group)首席执行官拉塞尔?哈迪说,全球石油需求增长速度正在放缓,在2020年加快速度前,全球今年的石油日需求量增长不会超过65万桶。

哈迪是在阿布扎比接受彭博社电视采访时发表上述讲话的。他说:“石油市场正在密切关注美国-中国贸易战。成熟市场的需求疲弱正在促使维多集团将重点放在新兴经济体。”

哈迪周三表示:“我们一直在不断下调增长预期。”这家全球最大的独立石油交易商预计,今年全球石油日需求量将增加60万至65万桶。这些数字比我们刚开始算的时候少了一些。这些数字中不包括天然气液体。“

国际能源署(IEA)预计,今年全球石油日消费量将增长大约120万桶,但华尔街的态度已经变得更加悲观。摩根大通认为将日增80万桶,为2011年以来的最低水平。国际能源署的数据显示,如果今年全球石油的日需求增幅低于60万桶,这将是2009年以来的最低水平。

李峻 编译自 彭博社

原文如下;

Vitol Sees Further Slowdown in Oil Demand Growth

Growth in global oil demand is slowing and won’t exceed 650,000 barrels a day this year before picking up pace up in 2020, according to Vitol Group’s chief executive officer.

Oil markets are focused on the U.S.-China trade war, Vitol CEO Russell Hardy said in a Bloomberg TV interview in Abu Dhabi. Weak demand in established markets is spurring Vitol to focus on emerging economies, he said.

“We’ve been continuously revising our expectations for growth down,” Hardy said Wednesday. The world’s biggest independent oil trader expects demand to increase by 600,000 to 650,000 barrels a day in 2019, “and we’re expecting about 800,000-barrels-a-day growth for next year. Those numbers are a little bit down from when we first set them out. They don’t include NGLs.”

The International Energy Agency expects oil consumption to grow by about 1.2 million barrels a day this year, but Wall Street has been turning more pessimistic. JPMorgan Chase & Co. sees growth of 800,000 barrels a day, which would be the lowest growth rate since 2011. If demand rises by less than 600,000 barrels a day this year, it would be the weakest since 2009, according to IEA data.

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