据8月9日Trend报道，国际文传电讯社(Interfax)全球能源分析部门主管Abhishek Kumar表示，直到2019年底，石油市场将持续变化。

这位专家强调，将欧佩克减产协议延长到2020年3月，将把石油市场供过于求的可能性降到最低。

他表示，国际贸易紧张局势已经降低了全球经济增长的前景，反过来，这将对2019年和2020年全球石油需求的增长产生负面影响。贸易争端不太可能在近期得到解决，这将成为油价下跌的一个因素。因此，一切都将取决于稳定油价或对油价产生负面影响的因素。

Interfax 预测，2019年布伦特原油加权平均价格将为每桶68美元。

在8月9日的招标中，最受欢迎的石油等级的价格缓慢下降。分析人士说，继上周之后，股价可能会下跌。自8月2日以来，西德克萨斯中质油和布伦特原油分别下跌了5%和7%以上。

伦敦洲际交易所(ICE) 10月原油期货价格早盘下跌至每桶57.27美元。阿塞拜疆的Azeri轻质原油价格也出现下跌，交易价格为每桶59美元。

7月2日，欧佩克国家和非欧佩克国家决定将减产协议延长至2020年第一季度末。

2018年底，欧佩克和一些非欧佩克国家决定对2017年初生效的《削减石油产量协议》条款进行更改。两国同意在2018年10月的基础上，将石油日产量减少120万桶。

邹勤 摘自 Trend

原文如下：

Expert: Uncertainty in oil market to remain till late 2019

The oil market will be continuously changing till the end of 2019, Abhishek Kumar, head of analytics department at Interfax Global Energy, told Trend.

The expert stressed that the extension of the agreement on the reduction of oil production by OPEC + will minimize the likelihood of an oversupply in the oil market until March 2020.

“The trade war between the US and China has already reduced the prospects for global economic growth, which, in turn, will adversely affect the growth of the world oil demand in 2019 and 2020,” he said.

"The trade dispute is unlikely to be resolved in the near future, which will become a bearish factor for oil prices," Kumar added. Thus, everything will depend on factors either stabilizing oil prices or having a bearish effect on them.

Interfax Global Gas Analytics predicts that the weighted average price of Brent crude oil will be $68 per barrel in 2019.

The prices for the most popular oil grades go down slowly during the bidding on Aug. 9. Following the current week, quotes are likely to go down, the analysts say. WTI oil has lost more than five percent, and Brent oil over seven percent since Aug. 2.

Brent crude October futures decreased in price to $57.27 per barrel on the London-based ICE Futures in the morning. Azerbaijan’s Azeri Light also fell in price and was traded at $59 per barrel.

A decision was made on July 2 to extend the agreement to reduce oil production by the OPEC countries and non-OPEC countries until the end of the first quarter of 2020.

At the end of 2018, OPEC and a number of non-OPEC countries (OPEC +) decided to modernize the terms of the agreement on the reduction of oil production which is valid since the beginning of 2017. The countries agreed to reduce oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day of the level of October 2018.