据世界石油网华盛顿报道，美国能源信息署(EIA)日前估计，欧佩克成员国去年净石油出口总收入接近7110亿美元。这一估计数比2017年增加了29%，但比2012年近1.2万亿美元的创纪录高点低了大约40%。导致欧佩克去年盈利增加的主要原因是原油价格上涨的结果。布伦特原油现货价格从2017年的年均54美元/桶升至2018年的71美元/桶。不过，EIA预计，欧佩克今年的净石油出口收入将降至5930亿美元，2020年将降至5560亿美元。导致欧佩克明后年净石油出口收入下降的主要原因是欧佩克一些成员国减产。

EIA根据石油生产(包括原油、凝析油和天然气厂液体)、石油总消费量估算以及今年8月《短期能源展望》(STEO)报告中原油价格预测估算出欧佩克去年净石油出口收入。

如果欧佩克所有成员国7110亿美元的净石油出口收入除以成员国总人口，并经通胀因素调整后，那么去年欧佩克成员国的人均净石油出口收入为1416美元，比2017年增加了26%。人均收入的增加可能使严重依赖石油销售进口商品、资助社会项目和其他公共服务的成员国受益。

李峻 编译自 世界石油

原文如下：

EIA: 2018 OPEC net export revenues highest since 2013, but likely to decline

The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that OPEC members earned almost $711 billion in net oil export revenues in 2018. The estimate is up 29% from 2017, but about 40% lower than the record high of almost $1,200 billion in 2012. The 2018 earnings increase is mainly a result of higher crude oil prices. The Brent spot price rose from an annual average of $54/bbl in 2017 to $71/bbl in 2018. However, EIA forecasts annual OPEC net oil export revenues will decline to $593 billion in 2019 and to $556 billion in 2020. Decreasing OPEC revenues are primarily a result of decreasing production among a number of OPEC producers.

EIA estimates net oil export revenues based on oil production—including crude oil, condensate, and natural gas plant liquids—and total petroleum consumption estimates, as well as crude oil prices forecast in the August 2019 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO).

If the $711 billion in net oil export revenues by all of OPEC is divided by total population of its member countries and adjusted for inflation, then per capita net oil export revenues across OPEC totaled $1,416 in 2018, up 26% from 2017. The increase in per capita revenues likely benefited member countries that rely heavily on oil sales to import goods, fund social programs, and otherwise support public services.