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API:美国8月石油产量和需求表现强劲

阅读:1533次 日期:2019/09/25

据Oil & Gas Journal网站9月23日报道 尽管8月份领先经济指标走软,但美国石油协会(API)的月度统计报告显示,当月美国石油产量、需求和贸易活动表现显著强劲。

以国内石油总交付量衡量,8月份美国石油需求为2150万桶/天,为2005年8月以来的最高水平,较7月增长3.2%,较2018年8月增长0.9%。截至今年8月,石油总需求平均为2050万桶/天,为2007年以来的最高水平。

以车用汽油总交付量衡量,8月消费汽油需求为980万桶/天,较7月增长1.7%,较2018年8月增长0.1%。截至8月,汽油需求同比下降0.4%。

8月,390万桶/天的蒸馏燃料交付量较7月增长了1.1%,但较2018年8月下降5.8%。截至8月份,蒸馏油的交付量累计同比下降了1.2%,同时也进一步证实了卡车运输业的衰退。

8月份,煤油喷气燃料需求创历史新高,达到190万桶/天。与2018年7月相比增长3.1%,与8月相比增长1.5%。国际航空运输协会(IATA)报告称,7月份(最新一次)北美地区的收入(以客公里计算)同比增长了1.5%,在所有地区中排名第二。

8月份剩余燃料油需求为35.8万桶/天,比7月份增长17.8%,比2018年8月份增长14.7%。海运需求的加速似乎推动了需求的增长,波罗的海干船运租船费率指数8月份增长27.3%,自2月份以来几乎翻了两番,尽管关税减缓了全球贸易。报告显示,船舶进入船厂是为了在2020年1月1日生效的更严格的硫磺燃料法规之前安装废气净化系统,这也解释了这一趋势,并可能支撑今年剩余时间的定价。

吴恒磊 编译自 Oil & Gas Journal

原文如下:

API: US oil production, demand remarkably strong in August

Despite weaker leading economic indicators in August, the American Petroleum Institute’s Monthly Statistical Report recorded remarkably strong US oil production, demand, and trade activities for the month.

US petroleum demand, as measured by total domestic petroleum deliveries, was 21.5 million b/d in August—the highest for any month since August 2005. This was an increase of 3.2% from July and an increase of 0.9% compared with August 2018. Year-to-date through August, total petroleum demand averaged 20.5 million b/d, its strongest level since 2007.

Consumer gasoline demand, measured by total motor gasoline deliveries, was 9.8 million b/d in August, representing an increase of 1.7% from July and 0.1% compared with August 2018. Year-to-date through August, gasoline demand decreased by 0.4% year-over-year.

In August, distillate deliveries of 3.9 million b/d increased by 1.1% from July but decreased by 5.8% compared with August 2018. Cumulatively through August, distillate deliveries have decreased 1.2% year-over-year, along with greater corroboration of a recession in the trucking industry.

Kerosene jet fuel demand reached a new record for any month at 1.9 million b/d in August. This was an increase of 3.1% from July and 1.5% compared with August 2018. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported North American revenue passenger kilometers increased 1.5% year-over-year in July (latest) and was the second among all regions.

Residual fuel oil demand was 358,000 b/d in August, which was an increase of 17.8% from July and 14.7% compared with August 2018. An acceleration in demand from marine shipping appears to have driven the increased demand. The Baltic Dry Shipping Index of ship charter rates increased by 27.3% in August and has nearly quadrupled since February, even as tariffs slowed global trade. Reports suggest that vessels entering the shipyards in order to install exhaust gas cleaning systems (scrubbers) in advance of more stringent sulfur fuel regulations that take effect on Jan. 1, 2020, explain the trend and may support pricing for the balance of the year.

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