据能源世界网1月9日挪威斯塔万格报道，挪威石油局（NPD）周四的公布预测显示，随着新油田的投产和旧的生产设施的升级，到2024年挪威的石油产量较2019年将增长43%。

这些数字表明，挪威的原油产量正在复苏.由于老油田逐渐耗尽了其储量,去年下降至1989年以来的最低水平。

该机构称，到2023年，石油和天然气的总产量预计将接近2004年的创纪录水平，尽管天然气的份额将比以前更大。

NPD首席执行官英格丽德?索夫伯格(Ingrid Soelvberg) 在新闻发布会上表示，这次石油产量将占总数的一半左右。

随着主要油田斯维尔德鲁普和卡斯特伯格逐渐投产，目前预计该国近海油田的原油日产量到2024年将达到202万桶，高于去年的30年低点141万桶。

索夫伯格表示，经过两年的产量低迷期，产量将在2020年再次上升，主要是由于约翰斯韦尔德鲁普的启动，而且也得益于其他的发现。

该报告补充道，预计天然气产量将从2019年的1132亿立方米增加到2020年的1171亿立方米，但低于先前的预测1202亿立方米。

NPD如今预计，挪威2020年石油日产量到2将达176万桶，而一年前的预测是174万桶。

NPD称，尽管2019年的勘探工作从上一年的53口井增加到57口，但2020年可能会下降到50口。

去年，在北极地区的巴伦支海进行的勘探仅带来了一次发现，该地区曾被视为北欧国家的新油气重要开发区域。

挪威国有公司equinor及其合作伙伴周四早些时候宣布了进一步扩大其Statfjord油田生产的计划，该油田自20世纪70年代以来一直在生产，现在预计将在2040年以后继续投入生产。

尽管挪威支持2015年《巴黎气候协定》，并计划在未来几十年内大幅减少其国内碳排放量，但挪威仍坚持，只要有需求，挪威将继续向其他国家生产和出售石油。

根据Equinor的计划，约翰斯韦尔德鲁普油田预计将持续生产至少半个世纪。

郝芬 译自 能源世界网

原文如下：

Norway sees rapid growth in oil output from 30-year lows

Norway's oil output will grow by 43 per cent from 2019 to 2024 as new fields come on stream and older production facilities are upgraded, forecasts from the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate (NPD) showed on Thursday.

The numbers show a revival for Norwegian crude production, which last year fell to its lowest level since 1989 as older fields gradually depleted their reserves.

By 2023, combined output of oil and gas is expected to reach close to the record level seen in 2004, the agency said, although gas would have a greater share than before.

"This time oil will account for about half of the total," NPD chief Ingrid Soelvberg told a news conference.

Crude output from the country's offshore fields is now predicted to hit 2.02 million barrels per day in 2024, up from a 30-year low of 1.41 million last year, as major oilfields Sverdrup and Castberg gradually come on stream.

"After two years of lower output, production will rise again in 2020, mainly due to the start-up of Johan Sverdrup but also due to other finds," Soelvberg said.

Natural gas production is predicted to rise to 117.1 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2020 from 113.2 bcm in 2019, but below a previous forecast of 120.2 bcm, it added.

The NPD now expects Norway's oil output to total 1.76 million barrels per day in 2020, up from a previous forecast of 1.74 million made a year ago.

While exploration increased in 2019, to 57 wells from 53 the previous year, it will likely decline to 50 wells in 2020, the NPD said.

Exploration in the Barents Sea in the Arctic brought only one discovery last year, an area that once had been expected to be a new oil and gas province for the Nordic country.

State-controlled Equinor and its partners earlier on Thursday announced plans to further extend production from their Statfjord field, which has been producing since the 1970s and is now expected to remain on stream beyond 2040.

While Norway supports the 2015 Paris climate agreement, and aims to sharply reduce its domestic carbon emissions in the coming decades, it also says it will continue to pump and sell petroleum to others for as long as demand exists.

The Sverdrup field is expected to remain in production for at least a half century, according to Equinor's plan.