据能源信息统计1月13日消息，根据挪威石油理事会(NPD)的预测，由于主要油田Sverdrup和Castberg将逐步投产，挪威原油产量将从2019年的141万桶/天上升到2020年的176万桶/天，到2024年将上升到202万桶/天(增幅44%)。2019年至2024年间，液体燃料的总产量将增加34%以上，从174万桶油当量/天至233万桶油当量/天。挪威天然气产量预计在2020年增长3%，在2019-2024年间增长5%。

尽管2019年勘探活动增加了4%，年内开采了57口井，但NPD预计到2020年勘探活动将减少，预计开采50口井。2019年，大部分勘探活动集中在北海(65%)，其次是挪威海(26%)和巴伦支海(9%)。2019年，油气公司总共发现了17处油田，其中北海10处，挪威海6处，巴伦支海1处。

在2019年10月，Equinor（挪国油）开始在Johan Sverdrup油田投产，这是位于北海挪威部分的一个大型油气田，估计可采储量为27亿桶油当量。预计到2020年夏季，石油产量将增至44万桶/天，到2022年底第二阶段投产后，将进一步增至66万桶/天。

裘寅 编译自 enerdata

原文如下：

NPD forecast Norway's oil output to rise by 44% between 2019 and 2024

According to forecasts from the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate (NPD), Norway’s crude oil production will rise from 1.41 mb/d in 2019 to 1.76 mb/d in 2020 and 2.02 mbd/d in 2024 (+44%), as major oilfields Sverdrup and Castberg will progressively enter production. Total liquids production should increase by more than 34% between 2019 (1.74 mboe/d) and 2024 (2.33 mb/d). Norway’s natural gas output is expected to increase by 3% in 2020 and by 5% over the 2019-2024 period.

Despite a 4% increase in exploration activity in 2019 with 57 wells spudded during the year, the NPD anticipates a decline in 2020, with only 50 wells. In 2019, the majority of exploration activity was concentrated in North Sea (65%), followed by Norwegian Sea (26%) and Barents Sea (9%). Companies made a total of 17 discoveries in 2019, including 10 in the North Sea, 6 in the Norwegian Sea and 1 in the Barents Sea.

In October 2019, Equinor started production from the Johan Sverdrup field, a giant oil and gas field in the Norwegian part of the North Sea with recoverable reserves estimated at 2.7 Gboe. Oil production is anticipated to ramp up to 440,000 bbl/d in the summer of 2020 and should rise further to 660,000 bbl/d once the second phase comes on stream in late 2022.