据安迅思伦敦2月20日消息，安迅思咨询公司（ICIS Consulting）副总裁Stefano Zehnder表示，随着需求向II类和III类基础油产品的转移，全球基础油市场的竞争将越来越激烈，同时基础油供应将超过需求。

Zehnder表示，据安迅思预测，2025年前全球II类和III类基础油新增产能将比新增需求高出50%。

与此同时，I类基础油产能削减幅度将小于II类和III类基础油抢占市场份额所造成的I类基础油需求削减幅度。

II类基础油将主导增长，特别是在亚洲，新增的基础油需求主要是II类基础油。

庞晓华 摘译自 ICIS

原文如下：

Global base oils supply to outpace demand while competition increases

The global base oils landscape will become increasingly competitive with a shift to Groups II and III while supply will outpace demand, the vice president at ICIS Consulting said on Thursday.

Stefano Zehnder said Groups II and III capacity expansions to 2025 will be 50% greater than demand growth, according to ICIS projections.

Meanwhile, Group I capacity reductions will be smaller than demand destruction stemming from Groups II and III taking market share, which will accelerate.

Group II will dominate growth, especially in Asia, where most of the incremental market will be.