据世界石油网站3月16日消息 据美国最大的独立石油生产商之一的先锋公司称，本次是自1991年原油价格暴跌以来，页岩钻探商首次削减资本支出并减少活动，美国石油产量可能下降近20%。

先锋自然资源公司首席执行官Scott Sheffield在接受彭博社电视台采访时说，如果油价在企业进入“维护模式”时保持在当前水平附近，美国到2021年底产量可能损失200万至250万桶/天。他的预测与挪威研究公司雷斯塔能源的预测相似。

Sheffield表示，大多数页岩生产商将被迫在今年年底前削减多达一半的钻井平台，届时现有的对冲措施将到期。但Sheffield没有提供自己公司计划的细节，他说将在未来几天宣布。在去年进行了一次重大重组后，公司没有裁员计划。

Sheffield说，油价暴跌可能最终导致全球范围内大量的公司和生产商倒闭，从而可能造成原油短缺，导致2022年后油价上涨。

吴恒磊 编译自 世界石油

原文如下：

Pioneer CEO says U.S. oil output could drop 20% on shale retreat

America’s oil output could drop nearly 20% as shale drillers slash capital spending and reduce activity after the biggest crash in crude prices since 1991, according to one of the country’s biggest independent producers.

The U.S. may lose between 2 million and 2.5 million barrels a day by the end of 2021 if oil prices stay around current levels as companies go into “maintenance mode,” Pioneer Natural Resources Co. Chief Executive Officer Scott Sheffield said in an interview on Bloomberg TV. His forecast is similar to that of Oslo-based research firm Rystad Energy.

Most shale producers will be forced to cut as many as half of their drilling rigs by the end of this year, when current hedges expire, Sheffield said. He didn’t provide details of his own company’s plans, which he said he’ll announce in the coming days. Sheffield said he has no plans for layoffs after a major restructuring last year.

The oil-price collapse may end up wiping out enough companies and production globally that it could create a shortage of crude, leading to higher prices after 2022, Sheffield said.