据今日油价网站7月30日消息 分析人士向《阿拉伯商业报》表示，COVID-19流感大流行已经给世界第三大石油进口国印度带来了生活方式的改变，印度现在越来越多的人更喜欢用自己的车辆上下班，这可能会导致原油进口增加，对燃料的需求也会增加。

由于冠状病毒大流行，印度4月和5月的大部分时间都处于封锁状态，现在人们似乎尽可能避免乘坐公共交通工具。印度乘用车和两轮车的使用只会增长，分析师预计这将转化为对成品油的需求增加，从而导致原油进口增加。

独立能源顾问Tsunduru Muralidhar向《阿拉伯商业报》詹姆斯·马修表示：“我们已经看到印度城市和城镇道路上使用两轮车和四轮车的激增，因为人们一直避免使用公共交通工具上下班。”

德勤印度能源部门分析师Kalpana Jain在接受《阿拉伯商业报》采访时表示，乘用车和摩托车的使用量增加，加上经济活动的复苏，将增加印度未来几个季度的石油需求。

6月底，印度石油部长Dharmendra Pradhan表示，到9月底，印度的燃料需求将反弹至危机前的水平。

然而，据路透社报道，来自业内消息人士的数据显示，印度6月份原油进口量大幅下滑至2011年以来的最低水平，炼油企业因维护和需求减弱而购买的原油减少。

印度需求减弱可能是石油市场的一个担忧。炼油厂官员本周向路透社表示，炼油厂目前正在降低加工率，因为燃料需求（从4月和5月的低点上升）本月已经放缓，原因是燃料价格上涨，印度部分地区再次陷入局部停工状态，而季风雨季也阻碍了经济活动和运输。

王磊 摘译自 今日油价

原文如下：

India’s Crude Oil Imports Could Jump By Year End

The COVID-19 pandemic has already brought a lifestyle change in the world’s third-largest oil importer, India, where a growing number of people now prefer commuting with their own vehicles, which will likely lead to increased crude imports with higher demand for fuels, analysts told Arabian Business.

India was under lockdown for most of April and May because of the coronavirus pandemic, and now people seem to be avoiding commuting on public transportation where possible. The use of passenger cars and two-wheelers in India is only set to grow, which analysts expect will translate into higher demand for refined oil products and consequently, higher crude oil imports.

“Already we are witnessing a surge in the use of both 2-wheelers and 4-wheelers on the Indian roads across cities and towns as people have been shunning use of public transport to commute,” independent energy consultant Tsunduru Muralidhar told Arabian Business’ James Mathew.

The higher use of passenger vehicles and motorcycles, coupled with recovering economic activities are set to increase India’s oil demand in the coming quarters, Kalpana Jain, energy sector analyst with Deloitte India, told Arabian Business.

At the end of June, Indian Oil Minister Dharmendra Pradhan said that fuel demand in India was set to rebound to pre-crisis levels by the end of September.

Yet, India’s crude oil imports slumped in June to their lowest levels since 2011, with oil refiners buying less crude because of maintenance and weaker demand, according to data from industry sources reported by Reuters.

Weakening demand in India may be a concern for the oil markets. Refiners are now cutting processing rates because fuel demand – up from the lows in April and May – has slowed this month as fuel prices are higher and parts of India are again under local lockdowns, while the monsoon rain season is also stalling economic activity and transport, officials at refineries told Reuters this week.