据安迅思新加坡1月3日消息，受日本计划停工检修的裂解装置数量减少、亚洲地区裂解装置产能扩张和乙烯下游装置开工率降低三大因素的影响，预计2019年亚洲市场乙烯供应将更加充裕。

2019年亚洲市场远洋乙烯船货供应前景喜忧参半，来自于欧洲的出口可能会因一系列裂解装置停工检修受到限制，而来自于美国的出口可能会因第四季度的新出口设施的投产而增加。

截至2018年末，东北亚乙烯现货价格表现疲软。2018年第四季度的交易价格低于1000美元/吨（CFR东北亚)，远低于2018年1-9月的1200美元-1400美元/吨（CFR东北亚）。

庞晓华 摘译自 ICIS

原文如下：

Asia ethylene balance likely to lengthen in 2019

Asia ethylene is expected to be more ample in 2019, on the back of fewer cracker turnarounds in Japan, regional capacity expansions and possible downstream output cuts.

The outlook for deep-sea supply is mixed, with European exports likely to be curtailed by a slew of cracker maintenance shutdowns, while shipments from the US may be lifted by a new export facility in the fourth quarter.

Spot ethylene prices in northeast Asia ended 2018 on a weak note. Deals were at below $1,000/tonne CFR (vost & freight) NE (northeast) Asia in the fourth quarter, lower compared with prices in the low $1,200s/tonne to low $1,400s/tonne CFR NE Asia during January-September.