据管道新闻网8月12日消息称，美国能源情报署周一在其月度钻井产能报告中预测，9月份美国7个主要页岩层的石油产量预计将增加8.5万桶/天，达到创纪录的877万桶/天。

预计最大的变化将发生在德克萨斯州和新墨西哥州的二叠纪盆地。预计该地区9月日产量将攀升7.5万桶，至442万桶，同样创下历史新高。这是该盆地自4月份以来的最大增幅预测。

数据显示，北达科他州和蒙大拿州巴肯地区的日产量预计将小幅增加3000桶，至创纪录的144万桶。

二叠纪和巴肯地区的产量增长一直处于页岩热潮的最前沿，页岩热潮帮助美国超越沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯，成为全球最大的石油生产国。

由于独立石油生产商减少新钻井和完井开支，将更多精力放在盈利增长上，该国最大盆地二叠纪的产量增幅有所放缓。尽管如此，各大石油巨头仍在加大支出。

二叠纪的石油产量也大幅增长，超出了管道输送能力，给该地区油价带来了一年多的压力。但是，新输油管道的启用，例如Plains All美国管道公司的日产67万桶的Cactus II 管道系统，开始支撑油价。

在横跨怀俄明州和科罗拉多州的Niobrara地区，预计日产量将增加1.2万桶，达到创纪录的75.8万桶。

另外，预计9月份美国天然气产量将增加至创纪录的816亿立方英尺。

这将比8月份的预测高出7亿立方英尺，使大型页岩盆地的产量连续第四个月上升，尽管自年初以来每个地区的钻井平台数量都有所下降。

阿巴拉契亚地区的天然气产量将增加近4亿立方英尺/天，达到创纪录的326亿立方英尺/天。

曹海斌 摘译自 管道新闻网

原文如下：

EIA: U.S. Gas, Shale Oil Output to Hit Record in September

U.S. oil output from seven major shale formations is expected to rise by 85,000 bpd in September, to a record 8.77 MMbpd, the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecast in its monthly drilling productivity report on Monday.

The largest change is expected in the Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico, where output is seen climbing 75,000 bpd to 4.42 MMbpd in September, also an all-time high. That is the biggest increase forecast for the basin since April.

Output in North Dakota and Montana's Bakken region is expected to edge higher by 3,000 bpd to a record 1.44 MMbpd, the data showed.

Production increases in the Permian and Bakken have been at the forefront of a shale boom that helped make the United States the biggest oil producer in the world, ahead of Saudi Arabia and Russia.

Output increases in the Permian, the country's largest basin, had slowed as independent oil producers cut spending on new drilling and completions and focus more on earnings growth. Still, majors are ramping up spending.

Permian oil production had also surged beyond pipeline takeaway capacity, weighing on regional oil prices for over a year. But the start up of new pipelines, such as Plains All American Pipeline LP's 670,000-bpd Cactus II pipeline system, are beginning to support prices there.

In the Niobrara, spanning Wyoming and Colorado, output is expected to rise by 12,000 bpd to a record 758,000 bpd.

Separately, U.S. natural gas output was projected to increase to a record 81.6 Bcfd in September.

That would be up 0.7 bcfd over the August forecast, putting production from the big shale basins up for a fourth month in a row even though the number of rigs in each region has declined since the start of the year.

Output in the Appalachia region was set to rise almost 0.4 Bcfd to a record 32.6 Bcfd.