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亚洲航空燃料市场本周或会走高

阅读:1198次 日期:2019/09/03

据普氏能源资讯9月2日新加坡报道,随着日本预计将于9月份开始为冬季取暖需求储备煤油,亚洲航空燃料市场本周可能会走高,而在韩国上周取消了汽车税收减免政策后,该地区的轻油市场则准备从韩国获得更多的供应。

贸易消息人士表示,在韩国取消汽车税减免后,本周亚洲轻油市场预计将出现波动,市场参与者预计韩国(东亚最大的轻油供应商)即将运出更多货物。

韩国每月出口180万至200万吨轻油,是仅次于沙特阿拉伯的世界上最大的中馏分油供应国。

一位新加坡贸易商表示,韩国的轻油货物需求已经非常疲软,汽车税的恢复可能会使情况变得更糟。北亚供过于求,人们正在为过剩的石油找着落。

周五亚洲收盘时,FOB新加坡汽油现金差价按普氏新加坡轻油平均评估价格+27美分/桶,日均跌幅为4美分/桶。

由于现货需求放缓,8月27日现货溢价降至+15美分/桶。

行业消息人士称,尽管如此,今年9月至10月的维修可能是新加坡轻油市场的转折点。

一位总部位于新加坡的炼油公司消息人士表示,我认为目前亚洲的需求并不多,但9月至10月,由于第四季度炼油厂的周转,我们可能会看到供应减少,因此我认为,贸易活动有可能在9月下半月回升。

在衍生品市场,9月/10月期货价差每周上涨18美分/点,周五亚洲时段收于26美分/点。

进一步来看,第四季度/第一季度价差从8月26日的结算期上涨39美分/桶,至上周五的1.09美元/桶。

郝芬 译自 Platts

原文如下:

Asian jet fuel braces for winter kerosene demand, gasoil choppy as South Korea supply rises

The Asian jet fuel market may buoy higher this week as Japan is expected to start its kerosene stockpiling for winter heating demand in September, while the regional gasoil market readies itself for more supply from South Korea after it abolished its automotive tax relief last week.

The Asian gasoil market is expected to be volatile this week, after South Korea abolished its automotive tax relief, leaving market participants expecting South Korea, the largest supplier of gasoil in East Asia, to ship out even more cargoes soon, trade sources said.

South Korea, who exports some 1.8 million-2 million mt of gasoil per month, is the largest supplier of the middle distillate in the world after Saudi Arabia.

"Demand [for gasoil cargoes in South Korea] is already very weak, the restoration of the automotive tax might make it worse", a Singapore-based trader said, adding that "North Asia is getting oversupplied, and people are looking for homes for the barrels."

At the Asian close Friday, the FOB Singapore gasoil cash differential was assessed at plus 27 cents/b to Mean of Platts Singapore gasoil assessment, marking a day-on-day dip of 4 cents/b.

The cash premium had dipped to as low as plus 15 cents/b on August 27, amid a slowdown in spot demand for physical barrels.

That said, the upcoming maintenance over September to October could be the turning point in the Singapore gasoil market, industry sources said.

"I don't see much demand in Asia currently, but in September-October, we might see lesser supply as a result of refinery turnarounds in the fourth-quarter, therefore I think potentially, trading activity will pick up in the second-half of September," a Singapore-based refining source said.

In the derivatives market, the front-month September/October timespread jumped 18 cents/b week on week to be assessed at plus 26 cents/b at Friday's Asian close.

Further out, the Q4/Q1 timespread was up 39 cents/b from the settle on August 26 to $1.09/b last Friday.

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